--- title: "Development and expansion of existing food price modelling system" ocid: "ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d" canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d" markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d.md" json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d.json" source: "Contracts Finder" current_stage: "Planning" buyer: "DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS" published: "2023-09-14" --- # Development and expansion of existing food price modelling system Buyer: DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS Current stage: Planning OCID: ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d [View canonical contract page](https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d) [Download OCDS JSON](https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d.json) ## Summary The Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs is planning a tender for the development and expansion of an existing food price modelling system. The tender involves economic research services with a focus on understanding the impact of food price changes on health and welfare. Defra seeks an external research academic or consultancy to develop a single food price model to analyse and improve the current system's accuracy and accessibility. The procurement method is an open procedure above the threshold. The contract period is from August 2023 to May 2025. This tender presents an opportunity for business growth for research institutions or consultancies with expertise in econometrics. Businesses specialising in economic research services or consultancy are well-suited to compete for this tender. The Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs is looking for partners who can help in incrementally improving the food price modelling systems and analysing the effects of food price movements on different household groups. Prospective bidders should note the key dates communicated, such as the future notice date of June 14, 2023, and the deadline for contract period starting from August 2023. ## Notice There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society. The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's (UK) exit from the European Union (EU) and the war in the Ukraine has contributed to increased food price volatility in the UK, and November 2022 saw year-on-year food price inflation rise to the highest levels since the 1970s. This research is likely to consist of the following 6 objectives: 1. To make incremental improvement to the accuracy and usefulness of the current food price modelling systems by using the most updated datasets, provided by Defra, by November 2023. 2. To identify the impact of food price movements on household affordability, health, and welfare through the creation of an analytical model. 3. To analyse the effects of food price movements on consumer behaviour amongst economically and socially disadvantages groups in England. 4. Upon provision of a list of options by Defra, to prioritise possible options for policy interventions targeted at food affordability and accessibility. 5. To produce a variant of the current food price modelling system to analyse the impact of food price drivers in a period of heightened food price volatility. 6. To improve functionality of the modelling system to produce results on sector-led basis, thus improving granularity of data. Defra is seeking an external research academic or consultancy with econometric expertise to develop a single food price model combining the current food price and elasticities frameworks and expand the research even further to gain an in-depth understanding of what drives food affordability, accounting for the heterogeneity across household types and groups. The model should allow Defra to test different types of scenarios (the 'what if' questions) and measure the impacts of food price inflation (the 'so what' questions) on different household groups. This will help to ensure that the rationale for Government interventions and feasibility of potential policy considerations arising from market failures or inequities will be based on sound and credible evidence. ## Key Details | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication source | Contracts Finder | | Latest notice | https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/343d1c87-91ff-4237-ba54-d1f305ee37c3 | | Notice type | Planned Procurement Notice | | Procurement type | Standard | | Procurement category | Services | | Procurement method | Open | | Procurement method details | Open procedure (above threshold) | | Tender suitability | SME, VCSE | | Awardee scale | Not specified | | All stages | Planning | ## Dates | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication date | 14 Sep 2023 | | Submission deadline | Not specified | | Future notice date | 26 Sep 2023 | | Award date | Not specified | | Contract period | 22 Oct 2023 - 31 Oct 2025 | | Recurrence | Not specified | ## Values | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender value | Not specified | | Lots value | Not specified | | Awards value | Not specified | | Contracts value | Not specified | ## Status | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender status | Planned | | Lots status | Not specified | | Awards status | Not specified | | Contracts status | Not specified | ## Buyer | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Main buyer | DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS | | Locality | LONDON | | Post town | South West London | | Postcode | SW1P 3JR | | Country | England | | ITL 1 | TLI London | | ITL 2 | TLI3 Inner London - West | | ITL 3 | TLI35 Westminster and City of London | | Local authority | Westminster | | Electoral ward | St James's | | Westminster constituency | Cities of London and Westminster | | Delivery location | Not specified | ## CPV Codes ### Divisions - 79 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security ### Codes - 79311400 - Economic research services ## Release History - 14 Sep 2023 at 09:27 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/343d1c87-91ff-4237-ba54-d1f305ee37c3 - 23 Aug 2023 at 09:55 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e694a331-fb52-408c-a129-98ec13ca9199 - 3 Aug 2023 at 10:05 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e9816113-47f7-42e1-8e24-2b56880d3245 - 24 Jul 2023 at 08:24 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/abf1bb50-e35b-4c43-8e24-790114d50e54 - 7 Jul 2023 at 15:14 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/7fbdaba5-d782-4b17-b522-12bde75874f9 - 26 Jun 2023 at 08:57 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/05d34e86-f353-4902-a635-fc8cc4bd95f9 - 19 Jun 2023 at 14:19 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/3c391f78-23b1-4a16-bc41-e5a8fb484b3a - 12 Jun 2023 at 08:15 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1096915c-044a-48b6-925e-0f0ec094bde0 - 30 May 2023 at 09:45 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/03499d59-882e-48b3-b21e-370c2d6f730b - 22 May 2023 at 14:37 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/b6f7f954-e193-42e4-934c-169d68da2aeb - 3 May 2023 at 13:23 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/70adc70b-57f2-438b-a0d4-5a80c6c36066 - 17 Apr 2023 at 13:58 - Planning - Planned Procurement Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1643f791-e4de-4446-90fa-336bff769117 ## Documents - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/343d1c87-91ff-4237-ba54-d1f305ee37c3 14th September 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e694a331-fb52-408c-a129-98ec13ca9199 23rd August 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e9816113-47f7-42e1-8e24-2b56880d3245 3rd August 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/abf1bb50-e35b-4c43-8e24-790114d50e54 24th July 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/7fbdaba5-d782-4b17-b522-12bde75874f9 7th July 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/05d34e86-f353-4902-a635-fc8cc4bd95f9 26th June 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/3c391f78-23b1-4a16-bc41-e5a8fb484b3a 19th June 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1096915c-044a-48b6-925e-0f0ec094bde0 12th June 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/03499d59-882e-48b3-b21e-370c2d6f730b 30th May 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/b6f7f954-e193-42e4-934c-169d68da2aeb 22nd May 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/70adc70b-57f2-438b-a0d4-5a80c6c36066 3rd May 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1643f791-e4de-4446-90fa-336bff769117 17th April 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder ## Provenance This Markdown file is an alternate public rendering of the D3 Tenders contract record. The canonical page is https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d. The underlying structured data is available as OCDS JSON at https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d.json.