--- title: "Development and Expansion of Existing Food Price Modelling System" ocid: "ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4" canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4" markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4.md" json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4.json" source: "Contracts Finder" current_stage: "Tender" buyer: "DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS" published: "2023-09-21" --- # Development and Expansion of Existing Food Price Modelling System Buyer: DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS Current stage: Tender OCID: ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4 [View canonical contract page](https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4) [Download OCDS JSON](https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4.json) ## Summary The Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs has issued a tender titled "Development and Expansion of Existing Food Price Modelling System." This procurement process falls under the economic research services category and is open for external consultants. The tender aims to address the impact of food price changes on consumers' health and welfare, especially in light of recent global events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical shifts. The deadline for tender submission is October 20, 2023, with the contract period scheduled to start on November 10, 2023, and end on November 30, 2025. This procurement opportunity provides a chance for consultancy firms specializing in economic research services to contribute to enhancing the understanding of food price dynamics. Businesses with expertise in developing analytical models, conducting research on consumer behavior, and advising on policy interventions related to food affordability are well-suited to compete. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and voluntary, community, and social enterprise organizations (VCSEs) are encouraged to participate in this open procedure to support the Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs in achieving its research objectives. ## Notice There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society. The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the UKs exist from the European Union (EU) and the war in the Ukraine has contributed to increase food price volatility in the UK, and November 2022 saw year-on-year food price inflation rise to the highest levels since the 1970s. We are seeking an external consultant to deliver the development of a single model combining the current food price and elasticities frameworks and expand the research even further to gain an in-depth understanding of what drives food affordability, accounting for the heterogeneity across household types and groups. The model should allow Defra to test different types of scenarios (the 'what if' questions) and measure the impacts of food price inflation (the 'so what' questions) on different household groups. This research has 6 main objectives: 1. To make an incremental improvement to the accuracy and usefulness of the current food price modelling systems by using the most updated data sets provided by the Authority (unless tenderers are a market research, market data and marketing consulting agency, then you will need to provide your own data set at your own cost - see Data Requirements and Sharing in the Specification). 2. To identify the impacts of food price movements on household affordability, welfare, and dietary habits through the creation of an analytical model. 3. To analyse the effects of food price movements on consumer behaviour amongst economically and socially disadvantaged groups in England. 4. Upon provision of a list of options by Defra, to prioritise possible options for policy interventions targeted at food affordability and accessibility. 5. To produce a variant of the current food price modelling system to analyse the impact of food price drivers in a period of heightened food price volatility. 6. To improve functionality of the modelling system to produce results on sector-led basis, thus improving granularity of data. ## Key Details | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication source | Contracts Finder | | Latest notice | https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/0efb2ac1-8800-4bd9-9957-eb830391c746 | | Notice type | Tender Notice | | Procurement type | Standard | | Procurement category | Services | | Procurement method | Open | | Procurement method details | Open procedure (above threshold) | | Tender suitability | SME, VCSE | | Awardee scale | Not specified | | All stages | Tender | ## Dates | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication date | 21 Sep 2023 | | Submission deadline | 20 Oct 2023 | | Future notice date | Not specified | | Award date | Not specified | | Contract period | 10 Nov 2023 - 30 Nov 2025 | | Recurrence | Not specified | ## Values | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender value | Not specified | | Lots value | Not specified | | Awards value | Not specified | | Contracts value | Not specified | ## Status | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender status | Active | | Lots status | Not specified | | Awards status | Not specified | | Contracts status | Not specified | ## Buyer | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Main buyer | DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS | | Locality | LONDON | | Post town | South West London | | Postcode | SW1P 3JR | | Country | England | | ITL 1 | TLI London | | ITL 2 | TLI3 Inner London - West | | ITL 3 | TLI35 Westminster and City of London | | Local authority | Westminster | | Electoral ward | St James's | | Westminster constituency | Cities of London and Westminster | | Delivery location | Not specified | ## CPV Codes ### Divisions - 79 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security ### Codes - 79311400 - Economic research services ## Release History - 21 Sep 2023 at 11:11 - Tender - Tender Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/0efb2ac1-8800-4bd9-9957-eb830391c746 - 21 Sep 2023 at 11:09 - Tender - Tender Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/6c202c6c-6391-497a-9d78-9214cc88c0be - 21 Sep 2023 at 11:07 - Tender - Tender Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/98551bbf-4681-4c76-b83b-2f99dc80dc4a ## Documents - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/0efb2ac1-8800-4bd9-9957-eb830391c746 21st September 2023 - Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/6c202c6c-6391-497a-9d78-9214cc88c0be 21st September 2023 - Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/98551bbf-4681-4c76-b83b-2f99dc80dc4a 21st September 2023 - Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder ## Provenance This Markdown file is an alternate public rendering of the D3 Tenders contract record. The canonical page is https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4. The underlying structured data is available as OCDS JSON at https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-9a4de0c6-3f07-4e23-88c5-74f5591d0ae4.json.