---
title: "CSD19 Integrative Foresight and Forecasting-------DEM0010490"
ocid: "ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26"
canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26"
markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26.md"
json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26.json"
source: "Contracts Finder"
current_stage: "Award"
buyer: "DEFRA"
published: "2024-09-06"
---

# CSD19 Integrative Foresight and Forecasting-------DEM0010490

Buyer: DEFRA  
Current stage: Award  
OCID: ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26

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## Summary

The procurement process titled "CSD19 Integrative Foresight and Forecasting-------DEM0010490" was conducted by DEFRA (Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs) and focuses on research and development consultancy services within the biothreat landscape sector. The project aims to integrate super forecasting with foresight methodologies to enhance the assessment of emerging biothreats. Located in London, UK, this procurement falls under the 'services' category and has reached the award stage. The contract period commenced on 2nd September 2024 and will conclude on 31st March 2025. Key dates included an initial tender period ending on 23rd August 2024 and the official award being published on 6th September 2024. The awarded contract value is £49,500.

This tender presents significant opportunities for businesses specialising in research and development, particularly those focused on biothreats affecting animals, plants, and fungi. SMEs (Small and Medium Enterprises) and VCSEs (Voluntary, Community, and Social Enterprises) will find this contract valuable for showcasing their expertise in predictive and analytic technologies. The direct procurement method, involving a single tender action below the threshold, suggests a streamlined process favouring businesses with agile decision-making and niche capabilities. The involvement of DEFRA underscores the importance of national security, making this a prestigious project for companies like ForgeFront, the awarded supplier, to build their credentials and expand their portfolio in the public sector.

## Notice

Aim 1. To integrate super forecasting with foresight methodologies to provide probabilistic, but non-linear, judgments on emerging, novel and convergent biothreats that either target directly or use as a primary vector, animals, plant and fungi (APF) to protect national security. 2. To define and establish archetypal system trajectories across Defra's biothreat landscape and threshold(s) for anticipatory action. 3. To test and examine how current decision-making structures respond to threshold breaches and super forecasting more broadly as part of the overall (Defra) biothreat assessment concept.

## Key Details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Publication source | Contracts Finder |
| Latest notice | https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/a9f0c9db-50ed-49aa-aea6-a77fe19118f1 |
| Notice type | Award Notice |
| Procurement type | Standard |
| Procurement category | Services |
| Procurement method | Direct |
| Procurement method details | Single tender action (below threshold) |
| Tender suitability | SME, VCSE |
| Awardee scale | Not specified |
| All stages | Award |

## Dates

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Publication date | 6 Sep 2024 |
| Submission deadline | 23 Aug 2024 |
| Future notice date | Not specified |
| Award date | 14 Jul 2024 |
| Contract period | 1 Sep 2024 - 31 Mar 2025 |
| Recurrence | Not specified |

## Values

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Tender value | £49,500 |
| Lots value | Not specified |
| Awards value | £49,500 |
| Contracts value | Not specified |

## Status

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Tender status | Complete |
| Lots status | Not specified |
| Awards status | Active |
| Contracts status | Not specified |

## Buyer

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Main buyer | DEFRA |
| Locality | LONDON |
| Post town | South West London |
| Postcode | SW1P 3JR |
| Country | England |
| ITL 1 | TLI London |
| ITL 2 | TLI3 Inner London - West |
| ITL 3 | TLI35 Westminster and City of London |
| Local authority | Westminster |
| Electoral ward | St James's |
| Westminster constituency | Cities of London and Westminster |
| Delivery location | TLI London |

## Supplier

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Number of suppliers | 1 |
| Supplier names | FORGEFRONT |

## CPV Codes

### Divisions

- 73 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

### Codes

- 73200000 - Research and development consultancy services

## Release History

- 6 Sep 2024 at 09:02 - Award - Award Notice - https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/a9f0c9db-50ed-49aa-aea6-a77fe19118f1

## Documents

- https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/a9f0c9db-50ed-49aa-aea6-a77fe19118f1
  6th September 2024 - Awarded contract notice on Contracts Finder
- https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/b1c5ef11-66cc-4ed7-bd45-7eb6ec393b65
  Defra - biothreats contract for review - PT FINAL REVIEW_Redacted2

## Provenance

This Markdown file is an alternate public rendering of the D3 Tenders contract record. The canonical page is https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26. The underlying structured data is available as OCDS JSON at https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-b5fd17-bbe214b2-d31b-4d1d-afe5-5dce769bce26.json.