--- title: "Fuel Poverty Modelling" ocid: "ocds-h6vhtk-041622" canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-041622" markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-041622.md" json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-041622.json" source: "Find A Tender Service" current_stage: "Planning" buyer: "DEPARTMENT FOR ENERGY SECURITY & NET ZERO" published: "2023-11-06" --- # Fuel Poverty Modelling Buyer: DEPARTMENT FOR ENERGY SECURITY & NET ZERO Current stage: Planning OCID: ocds-h6vhtk-041622 [View canonical contract page](https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-041622) [Download OCDS JSON](https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-041622.json) ## Summary The Department for Energy Security & Net Zero has a planned tender titled "Fuel Poverty Modelling" within the services category. The tender description outlines the legal requirement to monitor and publish fuel poverty estimates, with a specific focus on energy efficiency, energy costs, and household income. The project aims to model estimates for households participating in the English Housing Survey to support the annual Fuel Poverty National Statistics. A pre-market engagement session is scheduled for 23 November 2023, led by Commercial and Policy representatives from DESNZ. The tender value is £1,772,000, with the value covering the lifetime of the contract if all terms and extensions are utilised. This tender presents an opportunity for businesses in the energy and related services industry that specialise in data modelling, energy demand analysis, and fuel poverty metrics development. Companies providing services related to fuel poverty analysis, household income modelling, and energy efficiency assessments would be well-suited to compete. The planned procurement stage allows interested parties to engage with DESNZ during a pre-market session to clarify requirements and gather further details. The indicative contract term is four years, with the possibility of two 12-month extensions. Interested firms should prepare to submit proposals aligned with the outlined fuel poverty dataset, documentation of quality assurance processes, and a methodology report detailing the modelling processes to be used. ## Notice The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero is legally bound to monitor and publish estimates of fuel poverty by the Warm Homes and Conservation Act 2001, as amended by the Energy Act 2013. Fuel poverty is measured based on a combination of energy efficiency, energy costs and household income. All the fuel poverty indicators used in England and the other UK nations use these core three measurements to calculate the individual metrics used by each nation to determine whether a household is fuel poor, how deep into fuel poverty it is and what changes in energy efficiency or income/costs would be needed to remove the household from fuel poverty. The objective of this modelling project is to model those three estimates for households taking part in the English Housing Survey physical survey. While the current metric for fuel poverty in England will be reviewed in the fuel poverty strategy update next year the vast majority of the proposed contracted work is to derive these core measurements that will underpin any likely metric choice. The project will involve developing a detailed understanding of the data sources, energy demand modelling and the fuel poverty metric(s). The modelling needs to continually evolve over time as building technologies, household behaviour and changes in energy demand, energy pricing and impacts of Government policy all have impacts on the number and type of fuel poor households that need to be understood. The modelling will be used to deliver the annual Fuel Poverty National Statistics consistent with the latest English Housing Survey. The modelling will be used for subsequent in-house projections by DESNZ: https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/fuel-poverty-statistics ### Lot Information Lot 1 The Department for Energy Security & Net Zero (DESNZ) are looking for the provision of annual modelling of the fuel poverty status of households using the secondary modelling of income, energy efficiency and energy costs for households taking part in the English Housing Survey (EHS) survey. The work will be used to identify households in fuel poverty under the Low Income Low Energy Efficiency and 10% affordability metrics, together with calculation of the fuel poverty gap. The model needs to capture the impact of established and temporary policy effects. Three key outputs required for the fuel poverty modelling: * A fuel poverty dataset: with raw EHS and fuel poverty inputs data, as well as new modelled variables. * Documentation of quality assurance processes and assumptions logs used in the modelling. * A methodology report outlining the key steps and processes used to model fuel poverty, including key assumptions and models used. Additional information: The value of the contract is an estimate and is the total value across the lifetime of the contract if all terms and extensions are used. The indicative contract term would be four years. This would be an initial two year term, with the option of two 12 month extensions built in. ## Key Details | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication source | Find A Tender Service | | Latest notice | https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/032803-2023 | | Notice type | Planning Notice | | Procurement type | Standard | | Procurement category | Services | | Procurement method | Not Specified | | Procurement method details | Not specified | | Tender suitability | Not specified | | Awardee scale | Not specified | | All stages | Planning | ## Dates | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication date | 6 Nov 2023 | | Submission deadline | Not specified | | Future notice date | 7 Dec 2023 | | Award date | Not specified | | Contract period | Not specified | | Recurrence | Not specified | ## Values | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender value | £1,772,000 | | Lots value | Not specified | | Awards value | Not specified | | Contracts value | Not specified | ## Status | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender status | Planned | | Lots status | Planned | | Awards status | Not specified | | Contracts status | Not specified | ## Buyer | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Main buyer | DEPARTMENT FOR ENERGY SECURITY & NET ZERO | | Locality | LONDON | | Post town | Not specified | | Postcode | N/A | | Country | Not specified | | ITL 1 | Not specified | | ITL 2 | Not specified | | ITL 3 | Not specified | | Local authority | Not specified | | Electoral ward | Not specified | | Westminster constituency | Not specified | | Delivery location | Not specified | ## CPV Codes ### Divisions - 71 - Architectural, construction, engineering and inspection services ### Codes - 71314000 - Energy and related services ## Release History - 6 Nov 2023 at 15:08 - Planning - Planning Notice - https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/032803-2023 ## Notice URLs - https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/fuel-poverty-statistics - https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/department-for-energy-security-and-net-zero ## Provenance This Markdown file is an alternate public rendering of the D3 Tenders contract record. The canonical page is https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-041622. The underlying structured data is available as OCDS JSON at https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-041622.json.