---
title: "Quantitative research into the impacts of recent increases in the youth rates of the UK minimum wage"
ocid: "ocds-h6vhtk-05fae5"
canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-05fae5"
markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-05fae5.md"
json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-05fae5.json"
source: "Find A Tender Service"
current_stage: "Tender"
buyer: "LOW PAY COMMISSION"
published: "2025-12-19"
---

# Quantitative research into the impacts of recent increases in the youth rates of the UK minimum wage

Buyer: LOW PAY COMMISSION  
Current stage: Tender  
OCID: ocds-h6vhtk-05fae5

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## Summary

The Low Pay Commission (LPC) has initiated a procurement process titled "Quantitative research into the impacts of recent increases in the youth rates of the UK minimum wage". As a central government public authority located in London, the LPC seeks consultancy services under the research and development industry category. The procurement is at the tender stage, with significant dates including an enquiry period ending on 12th January 2026 and a tender submission deadline on 2nd February 2026. The project is expected to commence on 2nd March 2026, with results due by September 2026. This open competition entails a financial scope between £30,000 and £40,000, with anticipated gross value reaching up to £48,000.

This tender offers a valuable growth opportunity for businesses specialising in econometric analysis, data quality assessment, and innovative research methodologies. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) particularly equipped to handle alternative data collection and robust quantitative analysis are well-suited for this tender. The LPC's requirement for a thorough understanding of youth labour market impacts marks this as an ideal contract for firms adept at handling complex economic research in public policy contexts. As the evaluation process prioritises understanding, methodology, and delivery capabilities, companies with a strong track record in these areas are likely to perform well. The emphasis on quality and value for money further opens pathways for firms that can provide comprehensive, well-priced research solutions.

## Notice

This Invitation to Tender is for quantitative research into the impacts of recent increases in the youth rates of the National Minimum Wage. In recent years, we have recommended a number of large increases to the 16-17 Year Old and 18-20 Year Old Rates of the minimum wage. In addition, the current government has an ambition to move to a single adult minimum wage rate for all workers aged 18 and above. Our most recent remit asked the LPC to balance this ambition with the Government's concern about current levels of youth unemployment when making our recommendations on the 18-20 Year Old Rate. Reducing the age of entitlement to the NLW to 18 would require significant increases in the wage floor for 18-20 year olds. It is therefore vital that the LPC has a robust evidence base for understanding the impact of recent increases in the youth rates of the minimum wage as well as the potential future impacts. The LPC carries out its own descriptive and econometric analysis of the youth labour market and the impact of minimum wage increases. However, some of the key data sources we rely on, including the Labour Force Survey, have suffered from data quality issues since the pandemic. We are therefore looking for research that would use alternative data sources and/or develop novel methods to provide robust quantitative estimates of the impact of increases in the youth rates of the minimum wage since 2020. The full requirement is set out in Schedule 07 of the Invitation to Tender document available on the Low Pay Commission website. We anticipate bids in the range PS30,000- PS40,000 excluding VAT. The project will deliver results by September 2026 (with a final report due later in 2026).

## Key Details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Publication source | Find A Tender Service |
| Latest notice | https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/085130-2025 |
| Notice type | UK4 - Tender Notice |
| Procurement type | Standard |
| Procurement category | Services |
| Procurement method | Open |
| Procurement method details | Below threshold - open competition |
| Tender suitability | SME |
| Awardee scale | Not specified |
| All stages | Tender |

## Dates

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Publication date | 19 Dec 2025 |
| Submission deadline | 2 Feb 2026 |
| Future notice date | Not specified |
| Award date | Not specified |
| Contract period | 2 Mar 2026 - 31 Dec 2026 |
| Recurrence | Not specified |

## Values

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Tender value | £40,000 |
| Lots value | £40,000 |
| Awards value | Not specified |
| Contracts value | Not specified |

## Status

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Tender status | Active |
| Lots status | Active |
| Awards status | Not specified |
| Contracts status | Not specified |

## Buyer

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Main buyer | LOW PAY COMMISSION |
| Locality | LONDON |
| Post town | East London |
| Postcode | E14 4PU |
| Country | England |
| ITL 1 | TLI London |
| ITL 2 | TLI4 Inner London - East |
| ITL 3 | TLI42 Tower Hamlets |
| Local authority | Tower Hamlets |
| Electoral ward | Canary Wharf |
| Westminster constituency | Poplar and Limehouse |
| Delivery location | Not specified |

## CPV Codes

### Divisions

- 73 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

### Codes

- 73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

## Release History

- 19 Dec 2025 at 16:53 - Tender - UK4 - Tender Notice - https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/085130-2025

## Documents

- https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/085130-2025
  19th December 2025 - Tender notice on Find a Tender
- https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/low-pay-commission-call-for-research-for-2026-and-beyond
  A detailed description of the project requirements is provided in the Invitation to Tender (ITT) document published on the Low Pay Commission website. The pricing schedule template can be found alongside the ITT document.

## Notice URLs

- https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/low-pay-commission
- https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2023/54/contents

## Provenance

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