---
title: "Homes England - Economic Forecasting and Scenario Services"
ocid: "ocds-h6vhtk-066472"
canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-066472"
markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-066472.md"
json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-066472.json"
source: "Find A Tender Service"
current_stage: "Award"
buyer: "HOMES ENGLAND"
published: "2026-07-02"
---

# Homes England - Economic Forecasting and Scenario Services

Buyer: HOMES ENGLAND  
Current stage: Award  
OCID: ocds-h6vhtk-066472

[View canonical contract page](https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-066472)  
[Download OCDS JSON](https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-066472.json)

## Summary

In a recent procurement process, the public authority Homes England has awarded a contract for economic forecasting and scenario services to OXFORD ECONOMICS LIMITED. This contract, under the open procedure method, spans from 2nd July 2026 to 1st July 2027 with a potential extension until 29th June 2030, and is valued at £440,000. It involves the provision of quarterly macroeconomic and housing forecasts, impacting various regions across the UK, including England's local authorities. The procurement process included four final stage bids under tender ID DN809169 and relates to services under the industry category of research and development services and related consultancy services. The contracting authority's office is located in Newcastle Upon Tyne, and the contract was officially signed on 1st July 2026.

This tender represents a significant opportunity for businesses involved in economic analysis and forecasting services, especially larger consultancies with a track record of delivering robust, auditable forecasts. The work will support Homes England's key functions in risk management, financial strategy, and planning for housing and regeneration investments through its subsidiary, the National Housing Bank. With the open procedure, businesses that possess a strong analytical capability, robust economic modelling experience, and familiarity with UK macroeconomic conditions are particularly well-suited to engage in future opportunities, leveraging their expertise to influence fiscal planning and market intelligence efforts within the public sector. The scope for optional reports indicates potential for ongoing collaborations, bolstering business growth through sustained engagement with Homes England.

## Notice

Homes England requires quarterly macroeconomic and housing forecasting and scenario services for the UK, as well as regions and local authorities of England, in order to assist in its delivery of market intelligence and planning of current and future housing and regeneration investments through its newly established subsidiary, the National Housing Bank (NHB). As a public body audited by the National Audit Office (NAO), Homes England must maintain stringent governance and control standards, ensuring that all forecasting inputs, assumptions and outputs are robust, transparent, and fully auditable. Homes England uses baseline macroeconomic and housing forecasts, complemented by two distinct scenarios (upside and downside), to plan its delivery and expenditure in the coming financial years. These forecasts play a critical role across several core Agency functions. They are used extensively by our Risk, Finance, and Business Planning and Performance teams to support assessments of portfolio resilience, programme performance, and future market conditions. In particular, the forecasts underpin our International Financial Reporting Standards Foundation (IFRS) 9 calculations to measure Homes England's financial position. They also underpin strategic planning for future intervention, capital deployment and regeneration activity by highlighting potential turning points, emerging risks and structural shifts across housing and macroeconomic markets. It is essential that all forecasts and scenarios are based on reasonable assumptions, robust modelling evidenced by a track record of performance against observed data, and are consistent with current market standards, prevailing economic outlooks, and material risks. As such, the forecasts must be derived from a pre-existing, reputable model.

### Lot Information

Lot 1

Options: Additional optional economic reports such as regional baseline forecasts

Renewal: 3 x 12month extensions

## Key Details

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Publication source | Find A Tender Service |
| Latest notice | https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/062369-2026 |
| Notice type | UK7 - Contract Details Notice |
| Procurement type | Standard |
| Procurement category | Services |
| Procurement method | Open |
| Procurement method details | Open procedure |
| Tender suitability | Not specified |
| Awardee scale | Large |
| All stages | Tender, Award |

## Dates

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Publication date | 2 Jul 2026 |
| Submission deadline | 6 Apr 2026 |
| Future notice date | Not specified |
| Award date | 9 Jun 2026 |
| Contract period | 1 Jul 2026 - 1 Jul 2027 |
| Recurrence | 2029-03-01 |

## Values

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Tender value | £600,000 |
| Lots value | £600,000 |
| Awards value | £366,000 |
| Contracts value | £366,000 |

## Status

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Tender status | Complete |
| Lots status | Complete |
| Awards status | Active |
| Contracts status | Active |

## Buyer

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Main buyer | HOMES ENGLAND |
| Locality | NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE |
| Post town | Newcastle upon Tyne |
| Postcode | NE4 5BZ |
| Country | England |
| ITL 1 | TLC North East (England) |
| ITL 2 | TLC4 Northumberland, Durham and Tyne & Wear |
| ITL 3 | TLC43 Tyneside |
| Local authority | Newcastle upon Tyne |
| Electoral ward | Arthur's Hill |
| Westminster constituency | Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West |
| Delivery location | TLC North East (England), TLD North West (England), TLE Yorkshire and The Humber, TLF East Midlands (England), TLG West Midlands (England), TLH East (England), TLJ South East (England), TLK South West (England) |

## Supplier

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Number of suppliers | 1 |
| Supplier names | OXFORD ECONOMICS |

## CPV Codes

### Divisions

- 73 - Research and development services and related consultancy services
- 79 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security

### Codes

- 73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy services
- 79000000 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security

## Release History

- 2 Jul 2026 at 14:12 - Award - UK7 - Contract Details Notice - https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/062369-2026
- 10 Jun 2026 at 13:09 - Award - UK6 - Contract Award Notice - https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/054769-2026
- 1 Apr 2026 at 11:07 - TenderUpdate - UK4 - Tender Notice - https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/030300-2026
- 6 Mar 2026 at 15:10 - Tender - UK4 - Tender Notice - https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/020523-2026

## Documents

- https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/062369-2026
  2nd July 2026 - Contract details notice on Find a Tender
- https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/054769-2026
  10th June 2026 - Contract award notice on Find a Tender
- https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/030300-2026
  1st April 2026 - Tender notice on Find a Tender
- https://www.find-tender.service.gov.uk/Notice/020523-2026
  6th March 2026 - Tender notice on Find a Tender

## Notice URLs

- https://procontract.due-north.com/Opportunities/Index?tabName=opportunities&resetFilter=True
- https://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2023/54/contents
- https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/

## Provenance

This Markdown file is an alternate public rendering of the D3 Tenders contract record. The canonical page is https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-h6vhtk-066472. The underlying structured data is available as OCDS JSON at https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-h6vhtk-066472.json.