--- title: "Scottish Agricultural Activity Projections" ocid: "ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659" canonical_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659" markdown_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659.md" json_url: "https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659.json" source: "Public Contracts Scotland" current_stage: "Tender" buyer: "SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT" published: "2025-10-09" --- # Scottish Agricultural Activity Projections Buyer: SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT Current stage: Tender OCID: ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659 [View canonical contract page](https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659) [Download OCDS JSON](https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659.json) ## Summary The Scottish Government, based in Edinburgh, has initiated a procurement process titled "Scottish Agricultural Activity Projections" under the industry category of general public services. This tender, currently at the tender stage, is being managed by the Rural and Environmental Science and Analytical Services (RESAS) Division. The work involves estimating the future output of key Scottish agricultural commodities such as beef, dairy, and sheep livestock, along with wheat and barley, up to the year 2045. The open procedure allows for electronic submissions, with a deadline set for 3rd November 2025, and subsequent evaluation will take place on the same day. The awarded contract is scheduled to commence on 17th November 2025 and conclude by 17th March 2026. The procurement includes strict insurance requirements, with a compulsory liability insurance minimum of 5 million GBP. This tender represents a significant opportunity for businesses specialising in agricultural forecasts and analytics to collaborate with the Scottish Government to provide crucial projections that influence future agricultural policies. Companies with expertise in modelling agricultural impacts, developing scenarios under changing market forces, and possessing strong capabilities in supply chain management and environmental measures are ideal candidates. The procurement process is designed to ensure that the selected provider delivers reliable and evidence-based projections, thus contributing to informed policy-making and potentially offering long-term strategic alliances within the public sector. This could prove particularly beneficial to businesses eager to expand their footprint in the agricultural analytics domain in the UK. ## Notice 1. The Rural and Environmental Science, and Analytical Services (RESAS) Division within Scottish Government wishes to commission work to estimate the future output of major Scottish agricultural commodities (beef, dairy and sheep livestock numbers and wheat and barley for arable) for the years up to 2045. ### Lot Information Lot 1 2. The Rural & Environment Science and Analytical Services (RESAS) division in Scottish Government undertake analysis on Scottish agriculture across a wide range of different topics and policy areas to provide evidence-based advice on agriculture. The topics can range from trade deals and scenarios as a result of Brexit to potential future policy developments under the Agriculture Reform Programme to advising on scenarios up until 2045 under the Climate Change Plan. RESAS often needs to model these impacts into the future, so it is key that we have robust, up-to-date, evidence-based projections of a business as usual (BAU) scenario. 3. Presently, the best available projections for Scottish Government to use come from the FAPRI-UK model, based on projections carried out in 2022 covering the years 2021-2031. Since these estimates were produced a number of market forces have changed so updating these is key to give us an up-to-date sense of the most likely direction of travel for agricultural activity. Reliable projections are necessary so we can understand and adequately advise on future agricultural activity and impacts. ## Key Details | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication source | Public Contracts Scotland | | Latest notice | https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=OCT541088 | | Notice type | PCS Notice - Website Contract Notice | | Procurement type | Standard | | Procurement category | Services | | Procurement method | Open | | Procurement method details | Open procedure | | Tender suitability | Not specified | | Awardee scale | Not specified | | All stages | Tender | ## Dates | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Publication date | 9 Oct 2025 | | Submission deadline | 3 Nov 2025 | | Future notice date | Not specified | | Award date | Not specified | | Contract period | 17 Nov 2025 - 17 Mar 2026 | | Recurrence | Not specified | ## Values | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender value | Not specified | | Lots value | Not specified | | Awards value | Not specified | | Contracts value | Not specified | ## Status | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Tender status | Active | | Lots status | Active | | Awards status | Not specified | | Contracts status | Not specified | ## Buyer | Field | Value | | --- | --- | | Main buyer | SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT | | Locality | EDINBURGH | | Post town | Edinburgh | | Postcode | EH6 6QQ | | Country | Scotland | | ITL 1 | TLM Scotland | | ITL 2 | TLM1 East Central Scotland | | ITL 3 | TLM13 City of Edinburgh | | Local authority | City of Edinburgh | | Electoral ward | Leith | | Westminster constituency | Edinburgh North and Leith | | Delivery location | TLM Scotland | ## CPV Codes ### Divisions - 73 - Research and development services and related consultancy services ### Codes - 73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy services ## Release History - 9 Oct 2025 at 00:00 - Tender - PCS Notice - Website Contract Notice - https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=OCT541088 ## Documents - https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=OCT541088 Scottish Agricultural Activity Projections - 1. The Rural and Environmental Science, and Analytical Services (RESAS) Division within Scottish Government wishes to commission work to estimate the future output of major Scottish agricultural commodities (beef, dairy and sheep livestock numbers and wheat and barley for arable) for the years up to 2045. ## Notice URLs - http:// - http://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk - http://www.scotland.gov.uk - https://api.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/v1/Notice?id=ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659 - https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/ESPD/ESPD_Download.aspx?id=812659 - https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/Search/Search_Switch.aspx?ID=812659 - https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/sitehelp/help_guides.aspx ## Provenance This Markdown file is an alternate public rendering of the D3 Tenders contract record. The canonical page is https://d3tenders.com/contract/?ocid=ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659. The underlying structured data is available as OCDS JSON at https://d3tenders.com/contract/ocds-r6ebe6-0000812659.json.