Notice Information
Notice Title
Financial Risk Modelling Services
Notice Description
Homes England produces a range of macroeconomic forecasts on a quarterly basis. These macroeconomic forecasts need to be translated into the impact on the portfolio, and used to quantify, understand, and manage the financial risk to the Agency. Homes England manages a multi-billion-pound Recoverable Investment portfolio consisting of c. 300 loans. The portfolio has been running since 2016 and is highly concentrated in the UK housing market with a skew towards small / medium housebuilders with limited financial and credit history, as well as special purpose vehicles (SPVs) set up to specifically to develop a site. Security for the loans is typically provided by the land associated with the development. Internal data for quantitatively estimating the impact of different macroeconomic scenarios on the various model parameters is limited. A range of models including Expected Credit Loss models and Stress Testing models are used to quantify the financial risk of different macroeconomic scenarios on the Recoverable Investment portfolio. The inputs into these models are generally Probability of Default estimates (both through the cycle and point in time), exposure at default estimates, and Loss Given Default estimates. The regularly updated macroeconomic forecasts therefore need to be translated into these parameters for use in the various models. The Quantitative Risk and Stress Testing team (QRS) at Homes England manages this process. All loans are internally credit rated on origination and on a regular basis throughout the term of the loan. The current process for producing the parameter estimates involves both quantitative analysis and qualitative assessment, converting the internal ratings into the required parameter estimates. Homes England also subscribes to an external ratings agency service to assist with benchmarking the estimates. Homes England is seeking assistance on producing these estimates on an ongoing basis. This requirement forms Lot 1: Financial Risk Parameter Estimation Services (PS500k estimated value) of the Service. See Appendix A: Lot 1 Service Scope. It is envisaged that a single supplier will be appointed to lot 1. Homes England is also seeking support in designing, building, and implementing additional financial and financial risk models to improve its understanding of the current portfolio, and to model new products and programmes. This requirement forms Lot 2: Financial Risk Modelling Advisory Services (PS500k estimated value). See Appendix B: Lot 2 Service Scope. It is envisaged that there will be 4 suppliers appointed for lot 2. Homes England designs, builds, and maintains a wide range of financial and financial risk models. These models and methodologies are applied to a wide range of financial and risk management problems, including credit risk modelling, scenario analysis and forecasting, stress testing, and IFRS 9. Homes England is also seeking external support to provide model validation and assurance services on
Notice Details
Publication & Lifecycle
- Open Contracting ID
- ocds-b5fd17-5b6ea31f-89d4-4686-be94-e723d2bff4c7
- Publication Source
- Contracts Finder
- Latest Notice
- https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/9360c819-613a-4a7f-8a1a-0f001b84405a
- Current Stage
- Award
- All Stages
- Tender, Award
Procurement Classification
- Notice Type
- Award Notice
- Procurement Type
- Standard
- Procurement Category
- Services
- Procurement Method
- Open
- Procurement Method Details
- Open procedure
- Tender Suitability
- SME
- Awardee Scale
- Large, SME
Common Procurement Vocabulary (CPV)
- CPV Divisions
66 - Financial and insurance services
-
- CPV Codes
66000000 - Financial and insurance services
66170000 - Financial consultancy, financial transaction processing and clearing-house services
66171000 - Financial consultancy services
Notice Value(s)
- Tender Value
- £1,300,000 £1M-£10M
- Lots Value
- Not specified
- Awards Value
- £1,300,000 £1M-£10M
- Contracts Value
- Not specified
Notice Dates
- Publication Date
- 29 Jan 20242 years ago
- Submission Deadline
- 13 Oct 2023Expired
- Future Notice Date
- Not specified
- Award Date
- 16 Jan 20242 years ago
- Contract Period
- 29 Jan 2024 - 28 Jan 2028 4-5 years
- Recurrence
- Not specified
Notice Status
- Tender Status
- Complete
- Lots Status
- Not Specified
- Awards Status
- Active
- Contracts Status
- Not Specified
Buyer & Supplier
Contracting Authority (Buyer)
- Main Buyer
- HOMES ENGLAND (THE NAME ADOPTED BY THE HOMES AND COMMUNITIES AGENCY)
- Contact Name
- Vicky Mordey
- Contact Email
- vicky.mordey@homesengland.gov.uk
- Contact Phone
- +44 1158526998
Buyer Location
- Locality
- COVENTRY
- Postcode
- CV1 2GN
- Post Town
- Coventry
- Country
- England
-
- Major Region (ITL 1)
- TLG West Midlands (England)
- Basic Region (ITL 2)
- TLG3 West Midlands
- Small Region (ITL 3)
- TLG33 Coventry
- Delivery Location
- TLC North East (England), TLD North West (England), TLF East Midlands (England), TLG West Midlands (England), TLH East (England), TLJ South East (England), TLK South West (England)
-
- Local Authority
- Coventry
- Electoral Ward
- St Michael's
- Westminster Constituency
- Coventry South
Further Information
Notice Documents
-
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/9360c819-613a-4a7f-8a1a-0f001b84405a
29th January 2024 - Awarded contract notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/cfc1578e-45be-404a-b66c-75a5444955e5
14th September 2023 - Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/01866633-7b77-46db-a4e1-2913e01c2ec2
12th September 2023 - Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder
Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS)
View full OCDS Record for this contracting process
The Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS) is a framework designed to increase transparency and access to public procurement data in the public sector. It is widely used by governments and organisations worldwide to report on procurement processes and contracts.
{
"tag": [
"compiled"
],
"id": "ocds-b5fd17-5b6ea31f-89d4-4686-be94-e723d2bff4c7-2024-01-29T16:33:19Z",
"date": "2024-01-29T16:33:19Z",
"ocid": "ocds-b5fd17-5b6ea31f-89d4-4686-be94-e723d2bff4c7",
"language": "en",
"initiationType": "tender",
"tender": {
"id": "HCA001-DN658913-12501043",
"title": "Financial Risk Modelling Services",
"description": "Homes England produces a range of macroeconomic forecasts on a quarterly basis. These macroeconomic forecasts need to be translated into the impact on the portfolio, and used to quantify, understand, and manage the financial risk to the Agency. Homes England manages a multi-billion-pound Recoverable Investment portfolio consisting of c. 300 loans. The portfolio has been running since 2016 and is highly concentrated in the UK housing market with a skew towards small / medium housebuilders with limited financial and credit history, as well as special purpose vehicles (SPVs) set up to specifically to develop a site. Security for the loans is typically provided by the land associated with the development. Internal data for quantitatively estimating the impact of different macroeconomic scenarios on the various model parameters is limited. A range of models including Expected Credit Loss models and Stress Testing models are used to quantify the financial risk of different macroeconomic scenarios on the Recoverable Investment portfolio. The inputs into these models are generally Probability of Default estimates (both through the cycle and point in time), exposure at default estimates, and Loss Given Default estimates. The regularly updated macroeconomic forecasts therefore need to be translated into these parameters for use in the various models. The Quantitative Risk and Stress Testing team (QRS) at Homes England manages this process. All loans are internally credit rated on origination and on a regular basis throughout the term of the loan. The current process for producing the parameter estimates involves both quantitative analysis and qualitative assessment, converting the internal ratings into the required parameter estimates. Homes England also subscribes to an external ratings agency service to assist with benchmarking the estimates. Homes England is seeking assistance on producing these estimates on an ongoing basis. This requirement forms Lot 1: Financial Risk Parameter Estimation Services (PS500k estimated value) of the Service. See Appendix A: Lot 1 Service Scope. It is envisaged that a single supplier will be appointed to lot 1. Homes England is also seeking support in designing, building, and implementing additional financial and financial risk models to improve its understanding of the current portfolio, and to model new products and programmes. This requirement forms Lot 2: Financial Risk Modelling Advisory Services (PS500k estimated value). See Appendix B: Lot 2 Service Scope. It is envisaged that there will be 4 suppliers appointed for lot 2. Homes England designs, builds, and maintains a wide range of financial and financial risk models. These models and methodologies are applied to a wide range of financial and risk management problems, including credit risk modelling, scenario analysis and forecasting, stress testing, and IFRS 9. Homes England is also seeking external support to provide model validation and assurance services on",
"datePublished": "2023-09-12T16:51:39+01:00",
"status": "complete",
"classification": {
"scheme": "CPV",
"id": "66000000",
"description": "Financial and insurance services"
},
"additionalClassifications": [
{
"scheme": "CPV",
"id": "66170000",
"description": "Financial consultancy, financial transaction processing and clearing-house services"
},
{
"scheme": "CPV",
"id": "66171000",
"description": "Financial consultancy services"
}
],
"items": [
{
"id": "1",
"deliveryAddresses": [
{
"region": "England",
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"region": "England",
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"region": "England",
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
}
]
}
],
"value": {
"amount": 1300000,
"currency": "GBP"
},
"procurementMethod": "open",
"procurementMethodDetails": "Open procedure",
"tenderPeriod": {
"endDate": "2023-10-13T12:00:00+01:00"
},
"contractPeriod": {
"startDate": "2023-12-11T00:00:00Z",
"endDate": "2027-12-10T23:59:59Z"
},
"suitability": {
"sme": true,
"vcse": false
},
"mainProcurementCategory": "services",
"documents": [
{
"id": "1",
"documentType": "tenderNotice",
"description": "Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/01866633-7b77-46db-a4e1-2913e01c2ec2",
"datePublished": "2023-09-12T16:51:39+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "2",
"description": "Advert",
"url": "https://procontract.due-north.com/Advert?advertId=60bcf490-e7b8-ed11-8120-005056b64545"
},
{
"id": "3",
"documentType": "tenderNotice",
"description": "Opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/cfc1578e-45be-404a-b66c-75a5444955e5",
"datePublished": "2023-09-12T16:51:39+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-09-14T12:16:50+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "4",
"description": "Advert",
"url": "https://procontract.due-north.com/Advert?advertId=9a0785d3-0b35-ee11-8124-005056b64545&fromProjectDashboard=True"
}
]
},
"parties": [
{
"id": "GB-CFS-136678",
"name": "Homes England (the name adopted by the Homes and Communities Agency)",
"identifier": {
"legalName": "Homes England (the name adopted by the Homes and Communities Agency)"
},
"address": {
"streetAddress": "1 Friargate",
"locality": "Coventry",
"postalCode": "CV1 2GN",
"countryName": "England"
},
"contactPoint": {
"name": "Vicky Mordey",
"email": "vicky.mordey@homesengland.gov.uk",
"telephone": "+44 1158526998"
},
"details": {
"url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/homes-england"
},
"roles": [
"buyer"
]
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-271785",
"name": "20:20",
"identifier": {
"legalName": "20:20"
},
"address": {
"streetAddress": "S1 4RG"
},
"details": {
"scale": "large",
"vcse": false
},
"roles": [
"supplier"
]
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-197596",
"name": "Government Actuary's Department",
"identifier": {
"legalName": "Government Actuary's Department"
},
"address": {
"streetAddress": "EC4A 1AB"
},
"details": {
"scale": "sme",
"vcse": false
},
"roles": [
"supplier"
]
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-88049",
"name": "Grant Thornton UK LLP",
"identifier": {
"legalName": "Grant Thornton UK LLP"
},
"address": {
"streetAddress": "EC2A 1AG"
},
"details": {
"scale": "large",
"vcse": false
},
"roles": [
"supplier"
]
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-89966",
"name": "Mazars LLP",
"identifier": {
"legalName": "Mazars LLP"
},
"address": {
"streetAddress": "E1W 1DD"
},
"details": {
"scale": "large",
"vcse": false
},
"roles": [
"supplier"
]
}
],
"buyer": {
"id": "GB-CFS-136678",
"name": "Homes England (the name adopted by the Homes and Communities Agency)"
},
"awards": [
{
"id": "ocds-b5fd17-5b6ea31f-89d4-4686-be94-e723d2bff4c7-1",
"status": "active",
"date": "2024-01-16T00:00:00Z",
"datePublished": "2024-01-29T16:33:19Z",
"value": {
"amount": 1300000,
"currency": "GBP"
},
"suppliers": [
{
"id": "GB-CFS-271785",
"name": "20:20"
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-197596",
"name": "Government Actuary's Department"
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-88049",
"name": "Grant Thornton UK LLP"
},
{
"id": "GB-CFS-89966",
"name": "Mazars LLP"
}
],
"contractPeriod": {
"startDate": "2024-01-29T00:00:00Z",
"endDate": "2028-01-28T23:59:59Z"
},
"documents": [
{
"id": "1",
"documentType": "awardNotice",
"description": "Awarded contract notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/9360c819-613a-4a7f-8a1a-0f001b84405a",
"datePublished": "2024-01-29T16:33:19Z",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "2",
"description": "Advert",
"url": "https://procontract.due-north.com/Advert?advertId=9a0785d3-0b35-ee11-8124-005056b64545&fromProjectDashboard=True"
}
]
}
]
}