Notice Information
Notice Title
PS21196 - Bayesian Synthetic Population Algorithm Development, for National Buildings Model
Notice Description
***** THIS IS AN AWARD NOTICE, NOT A CALL FOR COMPETITION ***** This procurement is being concluded following a mini competition under the RM6018 - Crown Commercial Services Research Marketplace DPS This Invitation to Tender aims to procure, on behalf of the BEIS Secretary of State, an implemented methodology for producing synthetic population sample data from multiple overlapping data sources, relating to non-domestic buildings' energy use in the UK. The BEIS National Buildings Model (NBM) makes use of disclosive property survey data to represent the diverse building population of the UK. While data of this type is richly detailed and necessary for building physics simulation, the sensitivity and relatively small sample sizes present a dual challenge. Data protection compliance requires that the "stock" datasets derived from surveys are not published, preventing external replication of BEIS analysis even once the NBM itself is published. Simultaneously, BEIS wishes to reconcile the weighted survey data with other trusted information that has been collected on the same population. These alternative data sources are diverse, from national aggregate statistics to meter-point data collected for most individual UK properties. We propose that a synthetic dataset can resolve both issues. Synthetic data generators are algorithms for condensing the important properties of a dataset into a set of cross-correlations (a modelled distribution of traits). From this, a new "sample" can be drawn which preserves the key relationships we wish to infer from the original data, while scrambling everything else. Applied to a single dataset, this can ensure that private information is not disclosed, while maintaining the format of a detailed survey. The synthetic data concept can be extended, producing a single generating algorithm from multiple otherwise incompatible datasets. The resulting "samples" would be a population of imaginary building records which are nonetheless collectively consistent with everything we (think we) know about the true population. This project will procure expert assistance in the creation of this generating algorithm. The scope will be limited to non-domestic buildings energy use, but the approach taken is expected to be eventually extended to cover domestic buildings (which have their own unique data inputs) and potentially other domains as well. Therefore, flexibility and modularisation are important factors in the implementation. The model will be developed and implemented in an appropriate programming language (Python 3 is preferred for compatibility with the NBM, but tenderers may make a case for alternatives, such as R, if they think it necessary). Development will be version controlled using Git. The contractor will therefore need expertise in both software development and statistical inference/machine learning. Bayesian procedures have featured heavily in the exploratory work conducted so far (see below).
Notice Details
Publication & Lifecycle
- Open Contracting ID
- ocds-b5fd17-ef3d8adc-7b82-475a-b713-4465b0cebb3a
- Publication Source
- Contracts Finder
- Latest Notice
- https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/8ed62523-4148-43db-b6c6-26869d194a61
- Current Stage
- Award
- All Stages
- Award
Procurement Classification
- Notice Type
- Award Notice
- Procurement Type
- Dynamic
- Procurement Category
- Services
- Procurement Method
- Selective
- Procurement Method Details
- Call-off from a dynamic purchasing system
- Tender Suitability
- SME
- Awardee Scale
- SME
Common Procurement Vocabulary (CPV)
- CPV Divisions
73 - Research and development services and related consultancy services
79 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security
-
- CPV Codes
73200000 - Research and development consultancy services
79300000 - Market and economic research; polling and statistics
Notice Value(s)
- Tender Value
- £49,375 Under £100K
- Lots Value
- Not specified
- Awards Value
- £49,375 Under £100K
- Contracts Value
- Not specified
Notice Dates
- Publication Date
- 20 Jan 20224 years ago
- Submission Deadline
- 3 Nov 2021Expired
- Future Notice Date
- Not specified
- Award Date
- 7 Dec 20214 years ago
- Contract Period
- 29 Nov 2021 - 31 Mar 2022 1-6 months
- Recurrence
- Not specified
Notice Status
- Tender Status
- Complete
- Lots Status
- Not Specified
- Awards Status
- Active
- Contracts Status
- Not Specified
Buyer & Supplier
Contracting Authority (Buyer)
- Main Buyer
- UK SHARED BUSINESS SERVICES LIMITED
- Contact Name
- Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
- Contact Email
- Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
- Contact Phone
- Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
Buyer Location
- Locality
- SWINDON
- Postcode
- SN2 1FL
- Post Town
- Swindon
- Country
- England
-
- Major Region (ITL 1)
- TLK South West (England)
- Basic Region (ITL 2)
- TLK7 Gloucestershire and Wiltshire
- Small Region (ITL 3)
- TLK71 Swindon
- Delivery Location
- Not specified
-
- Local Authority
- Swindon
- Electoral Ward
- Rodbourne Cheney
- Westminster Constituency
- Swindon North
Further Information
Notice Documents
-
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/8ed62523-4148-43db-b6c6-26869d194a61
20th January 2022 - Awarded contract notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/47a0a410-f71f-4002-b86d-6d552100ab67
PS21196 - RM6018-Letter-of-Appointment - Countersigned_Redactedv1 -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/Attachment/4662db9c-f78a-4dbb-9817-26e08c80290b
PS21196 - RM6018-Call-Off-Contract-Terms - Countersigned_Redactedv1
Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS)
View full OCDS Record for this contracting process
The Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS) is a framework designed to increase transparency and access to public procurement data in the public sector. It is widely used by governments and organisations worldwide to report on procurement processes and contracts.
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