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Scenario modelling to support development of a long term air quality policy framework for Scotland

Scottish Government

This public procurement record has 1 release in its history.

Tender

15 Jul 2026 at 01:00

PCS Notice - Website Contract Notice
Summary of the contracting process

The Scottish Government has initiated a public procurement process for the project titled "Scenario modelling to support development of a long-term air quality policy framework for Scotland." This tender, identified as RESAS/004/26, is aimed at refining Scotland's air quality objectives and is categorised under general public services within the services industry. Located in Edinburgh, the process focuses on implementing an open procurement method, with electronic submissions being accepted until 19th August 2026, at 12:00 PM. This active tender is currently in the tender stage, and the contract is expected to span from 2nd November 2026 to 5th November 2027.

This tender presents significant opportunities for businesses specialising in environmental modelling and policy development, particularly those with expertise in air quality management and pollutant emissions assessment. Companies equipped with advanced modelling methodologies and capable of conducting thorough analyses of air pollutant scenarios are well suited to compete. Additionally, businesses offering robust data analysis tools, and comprehensive environmental management solutions will find this project aligned with their capabilities, offering them a platform to contribute both to policy development and public health improvement initiatives in Scotland.

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Notice Information

Notice Title

Scenario modelling to support development of a long term air quality policy framework for Scotland

Notice Description

1. As part of wider work to develop a long term policy framework to replace the Scottish Government's existing air quality strategy Cleaner Air for Scotland 2 (CAFS2), which expires at the end of 2026, air quality objectives in Scotland are being reviewed. Although all current objectives are being met across the country, an increasing body of research shows that air pollution, even at the low levels currently experienced in much of Scotland, continues to harm human health across all life stages and in a multitude of different ways. 2. The Scottish Government's aim is to propose challenging but achievable new objectives, thereby delivering further benefits for human health. In the short term, we wish to assess the feasibility of matching or where possible going further than the air quality targets for nitrogen dioxide and fine particulate matter, two pollutants of concern for human health, which are set out in the EU Directive 2024/2881 on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe and are to be achieved by 2030. In the medium to longer term (i.e. the 10-15 years after 2030), we wish to consider the feasibility of going beyond the EU targets and working towards the considerably more stringent World Health Organisation guidelines, which were updated in 2021. Any proposals will be subject to public consultation and approval by Ministers prior to being adopted. 3. The shorter term assessment does not form part of the requirements for this project, which instead focuses on the scope for further tightening of objectives beyond 2030.

Lot Information

Lot 1

6. The two main aims of the project are to: a) Develop a modelling procedure for assessing air pollutant emissions reduction scenarios: and b) Use this procedure for assessing the pollutant reductions that could be achieved for defined future years, and the associated human health benefits, from implementing specific policy packages. 7. To achieve this aim the project should: a) Either identify an established existing modelling methodology that will deliver the aims of the project or develop a bespoke methodology appropriate to the requirements. b) Undertake a testing phase to determine the utility of the chosen model and whether any modifications are required before full implementation. c) Use the finalised model to generate air pollutant emissions and concentrations scenarios for the pollutants nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and fine particulate matter (size fractions PM10 and PM2.5) for the year 2035 and for one or more additional years up to 2045. The initial analysis will be based on currently implemented policies together with additional policies set out in the Scottish Government's updated Climate Change Plan that are relevant to air quality. Additional analyses based on hypothetical policy packages to illustrate what could be achieved with a greater level of ambition may also be required. d) Quantify as far as is feasible within the chosen methodology the human health benefits associated with these emissions and concentrations reduction scenarios. e) Produce outputs including but not restricted to reports, maps and data analysis tools that can be used to support robust proposals for tighter air objectives in Scotland.

Notice Details

Publication & Lifecycle

Open Contracting ID
ocds-r6ebe6-0000837535
Publication Source
Public Contracts Scotland
Latest Notice
https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=JUL560233
Current Stage
Tender
All Stages
Tender

Procurement Classification

Notice Type
PCS Notice - Website Contract Notice
Procurement Type
Standard
Procurement Category
Services
Procurement Method
Open
Procurement Method Details
Open procedure
Tender Suitability
Not specified
Awardee Scale
Not specified

Common Procurement Vocabulary (CPV)

CPV Divisions

73 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

CPV Codes

73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

Notice Value(s)

Tender Value
Not specified
Lots Value
Not specified
Awards Value
Not specified
Contracts Value
Not specified

Notice Dates

Publication Date
15 Jul 20262 months ago
Submission Deadline
19 Aug 2026Expired
Future Notice Date
Not specified
Award Date
Not specified
Contract Period
2 Nov 2026 - 5 Nov 2027 1-2 years
Recurrence
Not specified

Notice Status

Tender Status
Active
Lots Status
Active
Awards Status
Not Specified
Contracts Status
Not Specified

Buyer & Supplier

Contracting Authority (Buyer)

Main Buyer
Scottish Government
Contact Name
Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
Contact Email
Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
Contact Phone
Available with D3 Tenders Premium →

Buyer Location

Locality
GLASGOW
Postcode
G2 8LU
Postcode Area
Glasgow
Country
Scotland
Major Region (ITL 1)
TLM Scotland
Basic Region (ITL 2)
TLM3 West Central Scotland
Small Region (ITL 3)
TLM32 Glasgow City
Delivery Location
TLM Scotland
Local Authority
Glasgow City
Electoral Ward
Anderston/City/Yorkhill
Westminster Constituency
Glasgow North

Further Information

Notice Documents

  • https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=JUL560233
    Scenario modelling to support development of a long term air quality policy framework for Scotland - 1. As part of wider work to develop a long term policy framework to replace the Scottish Government's existing air quality strategy Cleaner Air for Scotland 2 (CAFS2), which expires at the end of 2026, air quality objectives in Scotland are being reviewed. Although all current objectives are being met across the country, an increasing body of research shows that air pollution, even at the low levels currently experienced in much of Scotland, continues to harm human health across all life stages and in a multitude of different ways. 2. The Scottish Government's aim is to propose challenging but achievable new objectives, thereby delivering further benefits for human health. In the short term, we wish to assess the feasibility of matching or where possible going further than the air quality targets for nitrogen dioxide and fine particulate matter, two pollutants of concern for human health, which are set out in the EU Directive 2024/2881 on ambient air quality and cleaner air for Europe and are to be achieved by 2030. In the medium to longer term (i.e. the 10-15 years after 2030), we wish to consider the feasibility of going beyond the EU targets and working towards the considerably more stringent World Health Organisation guidelines, which were updated in 2021. Any proposals will be subject to public consultation and approval by Ministers prior to being adopted. 3. The shorter term assessment does not form part of the requirements for this project, which instead focuses on the scope for further tightening of objectives beyond 2030.

Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS)

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