Notice Information
Notice Title
Development and expansion of existing food price modelling system
Notice Description
There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society. The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's (UK) exit from the European Union (EU) and the war in the Ukraine has contributed to increased food price volatility in the UK, and November 2022 saw year-on-year food price inflation rise to the highest levels since the 1970s. This research is likely to consist of the following 6 objectives: 1. To make incremental improvement to the accuracy and usefulness of the current food price modelling systems by using the most updated datasets, provided by Defra, by November 2023. 2. To identify the impact of food price movements on household affordability, health, and welfare through the creation of an analytical model. 3. To analyse the effects of food price movements on consumer behaviour amongst economically and socially disadvantages groups in England. 4. Upon provision of a list of options by Defra, to prioritise possible options for policy interventions targeted at food affordability and accessibility. 5. To produce a variant of the current food price modelling system to analyse the impact of food price drivers in a period of heightened food price volatility. 6. To improve functionality of the modelling system to produce results on sector-led basis, thus improving granularity of data. Defra is seeking an external research academic or consultancy with econometric expertise to develop a single food price model combining the current food price and elasticities frameworks and expand the research even further to gain an in-depth understanding of what drives food affordability, accounting for the heterogeneity across household types and groups. The model should allow Defra to test different types of scenarios (the 'what if' questions) and measure the impacts of food price inflation (the 'so what' questions) on different household groups. This will help to ensure that the rationale for Government interventions and feasibility of potential policy considerations arising from market failures or inequities will be based on sound and credible evidence.
Notice Details
Publication & Lifecycle
- Open Contracting ID
- ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d
- Publication Source
- Contracts Finder
- Latest Notice
- https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/343d1c87-91ff-4237-ba54-d1f305ee37c3
- Current Stage
- Planning
- All Stages
- Planning
Procurement Classification
- Notice Type
- Planned Procurement Notice
- Procurement Type
- Standard
- Procurement Category
- Services
- Procurement Method
- Open
- Procurement Method Details
- Open procedure (above threshold)
- Tender Suitability
- SME, VCSE
- Awardee Scale
- Not specified
Common Procurement Vocabulary (CPV)
- CPV Divisions
79 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security
-
- CPV Codes
79311400 - Economic research services
Notice Value(s)
- Tender Value
- Not specified
- Lots Value
- Not specified
- Awards Value
- Not specified
- Contracts Value
- Not specified
Notice Dates
- Publication Date
- 14 Sep 20232 years ago
- Submission Deadline
- Not specified
- Future Notice Date
- 26 Sep 2023Expired
- Award Date
- Not specified
- Contract Period
- 22 Oct 2023 - 31 Oct 2025 2-3 years
- Recurrence
- Not specified
Notice Status
- Tender Status
- Planned
- Lots Status
- Not Specified
- Awards Status
- Not Specified
- Contracts Status
- Not Specified
Buyer & Supplier
Contracting Authority (Buyer)
- Main Buyer
- DEPARTMENT FOR ENVIRONMENT FOOD & RURAL AFFAIRS
- Contact Name
- Emily Hayes
- Contact Email
- procurement@defra.gov.uk
- Contact Phone
- Not specified
Buyer Location
- Locality
- LONDON
- Postcode
- SW1P 3JR
- Post Town
- South West London
- Country
- England
-
- Major Region (ITL 1)
- TLI London
- Basic Region (ITL 2)
- TLI3 Inner London - West
- Small Region (ITL 3)
- TLI35 Westminster and City of London
- Delivery Location
- Not specified
-
- Local Authority
- Westminster
- Electoral Ward
- St James's
- Westminster Constituency
- Cities of London and Westminster
Further Information
Notice Documents
-
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/343d1c87-91ff-4237-ba54-d1f305ee37c3
14th September 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e694a331-fb52-408c-a129-98ec13ca9199
23rd August 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e9816113-47f7-42e1-8e24-2b56880d3245
3rd August 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/abf1bb50-e35b-4c43-8e24-790114d50e54
24th July 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/7fbdaba5-d782-4b17-b522-12bde75874f9
7th July 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/05d34e86-f353-4902-a635-fc8cc4bd95f9
26th June 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/3c391f78-23b1-4a16-bc41-e5a8fb484b3a
19th June 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1096915c-044a-48b6-925e-0f0ec094bde0
12th June 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/03499d59-882e-48b3-b21e-370c2d6f730b
30th May 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/b6f7f954-e193-42e4-934c-169d68da2aeb
22nd May 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/70adc70b-57f2-438b-a0d4-5a80c6c36066
3rd May 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder -
https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1643f791-e4de-4446-90fa-336bff769117
17th April 2023 - Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder
Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS)
View full OCDS Record for this contracting process
The Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS) is a framework designed to increase transparency and access to public procurement data in the public sector. It is widely used by governments and organisations worldwide to report on procurement processes and contracts.
{
"tag": [
"compiled"
],
"id": "ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d-2023-09-14T10:27:45+01:00",
"date": "2023-09-14T10:27:45+01:00",
"ocid": "ocds-b5fd17-3619db75-465c-47e9-a6e2-441f4cf0935d",
"language": "en",
"initiationType": "tender",
"planning": {
"documents": [
{
"id": "1",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1643f791-e4de-4446-90fa-336bff769117",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "2",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/70adc70b-57f2-438b-a0d4-5a80c6c36066",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-05-03T14:23:57+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "3",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/b6f7f954-e193-42e4-934c-169d68da2aeb",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-05-22T15:37:47+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "4",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/03499d59-882e-48b3-b21e-370c2d6f730b",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-05-30T10:45:50+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "5",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/1096915c-044a-48b6-925e-0f0ec094bde0",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-06-12T09:15:50+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "6",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/3c391f78-23b1-4a16-bc41-e5a8fb484b3a",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-06-19T15:19:10+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "7",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/05d34e86-f353-4902-a635-fc8cc4bd95f9",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-06-26T09:57:53+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "8",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/7fbdaba5-d782-4b17-b522-12bde75874f9",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-07-07T16:14:19+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "9",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/abf1bb50-e35b-4c43-8e24-790114d50e54",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-07-24T09:24:34+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "10",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e9816113-47f7-42e1-8e24-2b56880d3245",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-08-03T11:05:03+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "11",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/e694a331-fb52-408c-a129-98ec13ca9199",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-08-23T10:55:40+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
},
{
"id": "12",
"documentType": "plannedProcurementNotice",
"description": "Future opportunity notice on Contracts Finder",
"url": "https://www.contractsfinder.service.gov.uk/Notice/343d1c87-91ff-4237-ba54-d1f305ee37c3",
"datePublished": "2023-04-17T14:58:32+01:00",
"dateModified": "2023-09-14T10:27:45+01:00",
"format": "text/html",
"language": "en"
}
]
},
"tender": {
"id": "CF-0069600D8d000003VQwdEAG",
"title": "Development and expansion of existing food price modelling system",
"description": "There is a need for Defra to better understand the impact of food price changes on consumers health and welfare, which has become more pressing in light of increasing pressures from modern society. The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the United Kingdom's (UK) exit from the European Union (EU) and the war in the Ukraine has contributed to increased food price volatility in the UK, and November 2022 saw year-on-year food price inflation rise to the highest levels since the 1970s. This research is likely to consist of the following 6 objectives: 1. To make incremental improvement to the accuracy and usefulness of the current food price modelling systems by using the most updated datasets, provided by Defra, by November 2023. 2. To identify the impact of food price movements on household affordability, health, and welfare through the creation of an analytical model. 3. To analyse the effects of food price movements on consumer behaviour amongst economically and socially disadvantages groups in England. 4. Upon provision of a list of options by Defra, to prioritise possible options for policy interventions targeted at food affordability and accessibility. 5. To produce a variant of the current food price modelling system to analyse the impact of food price drivers in a period of heightened food price volatility. 6. To improve functionality of the modelling system to produce results on sector-led basis, thus improving granularity of data. Defra is seeking an external research academic or consultancy with econometric expertise to develop a single food price model combining the current food price and elasticities frameworks and expand the research even further to gain an in-depth understanding of what drives food affordability, accounting for the heterogeneity across household types and groups. The model should allow Defra to test different types of scenarios (the 'what if' questions) and measure the impacts of food price inflation (the 'so what' questions) on different household groups. This will help to ensure that the rationale for Government interventions and feasibility of potential policy considerations arising from market failures or inequities will be based on sound and credible evidence.",
"status": "planned",
"classification": {
"scheme": "CPV",
"id": "79311400",
"description": "Economic research services"
},
"items": [
{
"id": "1",
"deliveryAddresses": [
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
{
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR"
},
{
"countryName": "British Oversea Territories"
},
{
"countryName": "Channel Islands"
},
{
"countryName": "Europe"
},
{
"countryName": "Isle of Man"
},
{
"countryName": "Rest of the World"
},
{
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
}
]
}
],
"procurementMethod": "open",
"procurementMethodDetails": "Open procedure (above threshold)",
"communication": {
"futureNoticeDate": "2023-09-26T23:59:59+01:00"
},
"contractPeriod": {
"startDate": "2023-10-23T00:00:00+01:00",
"endDate": "2025-10-31T23:59:59Z"
},
"suitability": {
"sme": true,
"vcse": true
},
"mainProcurementCategory": "services"
},
"parties": [
{
"id": "GB-CFS-242058",
"name": "Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs",
"identifier": {
"legalName": "Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs"
},
"address": {
"streetAddress": "Nobel House, 17 Smith Square",
"locality": "London",
"postalCode": "SW1P 3JR",
"countryName": "United Kingdom"
},
"contactPoint": {
"name": "Emily Hayes",
"email": "procurement@defra.gov.uk"
},
"roles": [
"buyer"
]
}
],
"buyer": {
"id": "GB-CFS-242058",
"name": "Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs"
}
}