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Scottish Future Electricity Demand Scenarios

University Of Edinburgh

This public procurement record has 2 releases in its history.

Award

22 Oct 2026 at 01:00

PCS Notice - Website Contract Award Notice
Tender

12 Aug 2026 at 01:00

PCS Notice - Website Contract Notice
Summary of the contracting process

The University of Edinburgh commissioned research for ClimateXChange, on behalf of the Scottish Government, into future electricity demand scenarios for Scotland. The work involves electricity-system modelling to address evidence gaps and update part of ClimateXChange’s 2022 whole-energy-system scenarios. It is intended to help the Scottish Government understand how future electricity demand and the dynamics and dependencies of the electricity system relate to emissions estimates as Scotland moves towards a net-zero economy. Demand drivers include decarbonising heat and transport and new requirements such as data centres. This is a research and analytical services requirement (CPV 79310000), delivered for Scotland. The University of Edinburgh is the contracting buyer.

The procurement is complete and the contract has been awarded to Lane Clark & Peacock LLP. The contract is active and was signed on 15 October 2026. Its recorded value is £79,523; the original estimated value was £100,000. The contract period is 180 days. This was a single-lot competition conducted under an open procedure. The tender closed on 11 September 2026, and the award period began that day. Six bids were received, including five from small and medium-sized businesses. Financial selection requirements included yearly turnover of at least £200,000 for the previous two years, professional indemnity cover of £1 million per event, employers’ liability of £5 million per event and public liability of £2 million per event. Suppliers also had to demonstrate resilient supply-chain management and payment performance, including paying at least 95% of invoices on time or providing a director-signed improvement plan.

For suppliers considering comparable future research for the University of Edinburgh and ClimateXChange, this award demonstrates demand for specialist electricity-system modelling that can inform Scottish Government policy. A credible competitor would need to develop future electricity-demand scenarios for Scotland, analyse how changing demand drivers—including heat and transport decarbonisation and data centres—affect the system, and relate findings to emissions estimates and net-zero policy. The work also calls for the ability to update an existing analytical evidence base and produce findings on system dynamics and dependencies. Financial capacity and insurance cover are material thresholds, as is a resilient, sustainable supply chain with evidence of timely subcontractor payments. Six bids were received, including five from SMEs, showing that smaller businesses competed alongside other suppliers. The selected supplier was Lane Clark & Peacock LLP.

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Notice Information

Notice Title

Scottish Future Electricity Demand Scenarios

Notice Description

The University of Edinburgh is conducting a tender exercise to appoint a Supplier to deliver "Scottish Future Electricity Demand Scenarios" - a ClimateXChange project commissioned on behalf of the Scottish Government.

Lot Information

Lot 1

The University of Edinburgh is conducting a tender exercise to appoint a Supplier to deliver "Scottish Future Electricity Demand Scenarios" - a ClimateXChange project commissioned on behalf of the Scottish Government. ClimateXChange (CXC) wishes to commission research on electricity system modelling for future electricity demand scenarios for Scotland. Increased demand is expected to be placed on electricity supply in future with heat and transport decarbonisation plus significant new demands e.g. from data centres. This project will address a number of evidence gaps, including updating the analytical evidence base to support policy development. The project will provide a partial update to previous work published by ClimateXChange in 2022 (Scottish whole energy system scenarios). The findings from the successful supplier of this work will provide the Scottish Government with an understanding of the dynamics and dependencies of the future electricity system, including how this aligns with emissions estimates as Scotland moves to a net zero economy.

Notice Details

Publication & Lifecycle

Open Contracting ID
ocds-r6ebe6-0000839953
Publication Source
Public Contracts Scotland
Latest Notice
https://www.publiccontractsscotland.gov.uk/search/show/search_view.aspx?ID=OCT567167
Current Stage
Award
All Stages
Tender, Award

Procurement Classification

Notice Type
PCS Notice - Website Contract Award Notice
Procurement Type
Standard
Procurement Category
Services
Procurement Method
Open
Procurement Method Details
Open procedure
Tender Suitability
Not specified
Awardee Scale
Large

Common Procurement Vocabulary (CPV)

CPV Divisions

79 - Business services: law, marketing, consulting, recruitment, printing and security

CPV Codes

79310000 - Market research services

Notice Value(s)

Tender Value
£100,000 £100K-£500K
Lots Value
£100,000 £100K-£500K
Awards Value
Not specified
Contracts Value
£79,523 Under £100K

Notice Dates

Publication Date
22 Oct 20265 days ago
Submission Deadline
11 Sep 2026Expired
Future Notice Date
Not specified
Award Date
Not specified
Contract Period
Not specified - Not specified
Recurrence
Not specified

Notice Status

Tender Status
Complete
Lots Status
Complete
Awards Status
Not Specified
Contracts Status
Active

Buyer & Supplier

Contracting Authority (Buyer)

Main Buyer
University Of Edinburgh
Contact Name
Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
Contact Email
Available with D3 Tenders Premium →
Contact Phone
Available with D3 Tenders Premium →

Buyer Location

Locality
EDINBURGH
Postcode
EH1 1HT
Postcode Area
Edinburgh
Country
Scotland
Major Region (ITL 1)
TLM Scotland
Basic Region (ITL 2)
TLM1 East Central Scotland
Small Region (ITL 3)
TLM13 City of Edinburgh
Delivery Location
TLM75 City of Edinburgh
Local Authority
City of Edinburgh
Electoral Ward
City Centre
Westminster Constituency
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Supplier Information

Number of Suppliers
1
Supplier Name

Lane Clark & Peacock LLP

Further Information

Notice Documents

Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS)

View full OCDS Record for this contracting process

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The Open Contracting Data Standard (OCDS) is a framework designed to increase transparency and access to public procurement data in the public sector. It is widely used by governments and organisations worldwide to report on procurement processes and contracts.

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